Penn State
W-L: (12- 7) PR = 93.3472Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (13- 4, 90.0) 10- 9 211 H Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (16- 3, 89.5) 17- 9 215 H Bucknell Patriot (10- 7, 84.0) 21- 9 218 H Pittsburgh ACC ( 9- 7, 88.7) 12-11 222 A Drexel Colonial ( 5-11, 83.2) 16- 3 228 A Cornell Ivy League ( 9- 6, 90.7) 11- 9 304 H Colgate Patriot ( 5-10, 81.3) 20- 8 308 A San Diego State Big 12 ( 3-13, 79.6) 18- 6 312 A Southern California Big Ten ( 8- 9, 86.5) 19- 8 315 H Princeton Ivy League (11- 7, 92.6) 11-14 322 H Michigan Big Ten (13- 7, 93.9) 6-11 329 A Maryland Big Ten (18- 4, 93.7) 13-14 405 A Ohio State Big Ten ( 9- 8, 90.1) 18- 9 409 H Oregon Big Ten ( 6-10, 81.8) 19- 9 412 H Northwestern Big Ten (19- 3, 96.9) 12-17 416 H Johns Hopkins Big Ten (17- 5, 94.2) 9-10 418 A Rutgers Big Ten (11- 9, 90.9) 18-15 422 A Michigan Big Ten (13- 7, 93.9) 12-13 508 N Stanford ACC (17- 5, 95.9) 5- 7
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 A Richmond 10- 9 1 2 -1.01
211 H Massachusetts 17- 9 8 5 + 2.76
215 H Bucknell 21- 9 12 11 1.31
218 H Pittsburgh 12-11 1 6 -- -5.01
222 A Drexel 16- 3 13 9 ++ 4.27
228 A Cornell 11- 9 2 1 0.77
304 H Colgate 20- 8 12 13 -1.37
308 A San Diego State 18- 6 12 12 -0.37
312 A Southern California 19- 8 11 5 ++ 5.55
315 H Princeton 11-14 -3 2 -- -5.08
322 H Michigan 6-11 -5 1 -- -5.80
329 A Maryland 13-14 -1 -2 0.68
405 A Ohio State 18- 9 9 2 +++ 7.12
409 H Oregon 19- 9 10 13 - -2.93
412 H Northwestern 12-17 -5 -2 - -2.80
416 H Johns Hopkins 9-10 -1 0 -1.49
418 A Rutgers 18-15 3 1 1.90
422 A Michigan 12-13 -1 -2 0.94
508 N Stanford 5- 7 -2 -3 0.57
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 H Pittsburgh 12-11 1 6 -- -5.01 315 H Princeton 11-14 -3 2 -- -5.08 322 H Michigan 6-11 -5 1 -- -5.80 409 H Oregon 19- 9 10 13 - -2.93 412 H Northwestern 12-17 -5 -2 - -2.80 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Ohio State 18- 9 9 2 +++ 7.12 222 A Drexel 16- 3 13 9 ++ 4.27 312 A Southern California 19- 8 11 5 ++ 5.55 211 H Massachusetts 17- 9 8 5 + 2.76 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Richmond (13- 4, 90.0) 10- 9 -9.93 30.24 1.37 0.91 57.64
3 H Massachusetts (16- 3, 89.5) 17- 9 -10.43 29.74 -1.37 0.91 51.74
3 H Bucknell (10- 7, 84.0) 21- 9 -15.88 24.29 -1.37 0.91 41.80
3 H Pittsburgh ( 9- 7, 88.7) 12-11 -11.19 28.97 -1.37 0.91 50.34
3 A Drexel ( 5-11, 83.2) 16- 3 -16.65 23.52 1.37 0.91 45.38
3 A Cornell ( 9- 6, 90.7) 11- 9 -9.15 31.02 1.37 0.91 59.05
3 H Colgate ( 5-10, 81.3) 20- 8 -18.56 21.61 -1.37 0.91 36.91
3 A San Diego Stat ( 3-13, 79.6) 18- 6 -20.30 19.87 1.37 0.91 38.73
3 A Southern Calif ( 8- 9, 86.5) 19- 8 -13.37 26.80 1.37 0.91 51.36
3 H Princeton (11- 7, 92.6) 11-14 -7.27 32.90 -1.37 0.91 -3.94
3 H Michigan (13- 7, 93.9) 6-11 -5.98 34.19 -1.37 0.91 -3.35
3 A Maryland (18- 4, 93.7) 13-14 -6.24 33.92 1.37 0.91 -2.22
3 A Ohio State ( 9- 8, 90.1) 18- 9 -9.80 30.36 1.37 0.91 57.86
3 H Oregon ( 6-10, 81.8) 19- 9 -18.12 22.05 -1.37 0.91 37.72
3 H Northwestern (19- 3, 96.9) 12-17 -2.98 37.18 -1.37 0.91 -1.98
3 H Johns Hopkins (17- 5, 94.2) 9-10 -5.68 34.49 -1.37 0.91 -3.21
3 A Rutgers (11- 9, 90.9) 18-15 -9.02 31.15 1.37 0.91 59.30
3 A Michigan (13- 7, 93.9) 12-13 -5.98 34.19 1.37 0.91 -2.10
3 N Stanford (17- 5, 95.9) 5- 7 -3.98 36.19 -0.00 0.91 -1.82
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569.21
|
winning pts = 587.8293 losing points = -18.6234
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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